Independiente Medellín vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
IND
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
IND
34%
26%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
MIL
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
IND
34%
26%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
AME
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |