Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 0
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
AGU
59%
24%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
SFE
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 2
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 0
HUI
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 6
BUC
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
REA
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EQU
3 - 1
ALI
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
ALI
32%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |