Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 6-0
Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 2
IND
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
ENV
60%
24%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
MIL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
IND
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
JUN
2 - 0
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 2
IND
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
ALI
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
TOL
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
IND
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |