Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
12%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
IND
3 - 1
PAT
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
4 - 2
IND
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
PAT
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 1
ALI
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |