Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JUN
3 - 2
IND
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
CAL
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 0
IND
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
QUI
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAS
3 - 1
PAT
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PAS
3 - 2
CAL
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
ONC
3 - 1
PAS
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAS
4 - 1
MIL
39%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 0
PAS
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |