Independiente Medellín vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
IND
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
ENV
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 2
IND
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
IND
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
SFE
1 - 1
PAS
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 0
SFE
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
CAL
3 - 0
PAS
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HUI
0 - 1
PAS
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |