Independiente Medellín vs 31 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
IND
2 - 0
BOL
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
OCT
1 - 2
IND
29%
21%
51%
|
72 | 24 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
BOL
1 - 1
IND
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
6 - 2
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1967 |
RAC
5 - 2
IND
72%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
31 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 0
OCT
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 74 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1967 |
RIV
7 - 0
OCT
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 85 | 62 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1967 |
RAC
6 - 0
OCT
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 85 | 62 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
OCT
1 - 2
IND
29%
21%
51%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1967 |
OCT
6 - 2
SFE
28%
21%
52%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | +3 |