Copa Ecuador Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Independiente Juniors vs Delfín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
INJ
26%
30%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
PQU
0 - 0
INJ
30%
29%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
INJ
1 - 0
SSR
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CUE
1 - 1
INJ
52%
23%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
INJ
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 1
UCE
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
EME
0 - 1
DEL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
AUC
4 - 2
DEL
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 0
DEL
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 1
NAC
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |