Independiente Juniors vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
2º
25
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
91.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 1
CUN
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
1 - 1
INJ
26%
30%
44%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CG7
0 - 2
INJ
4%
11%
84%
|
75 | 7 | 68 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
LFC
68%
22%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
OCT
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
LFC
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 0
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
5 - 0
CHA
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |