Independiente Juniors vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
OLM
2 - 1
INJ
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
INJ
4 - 1
IMB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
INJ
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
INJ
0 - 1
CAL
52%
26%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
INJ
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PQU
2 - 2
AME
26%
29%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
OLM
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
AME
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |