Independiente Juniors vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
2º
42
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 67 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 63 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 56 |
4º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 52 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
10º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
91.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
CUN
1 - 0
INJ
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
INJ
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
INJ
2 - 0
ESA
63%
22%
14%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
INJ
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OCT
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 1
ESA
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
OCT
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
OCT
2 - 2
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
OCT
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |