Independiente Juniors vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
7º
5º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
1 - 0
INJ
28%
29%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
2 - 3
CHA
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
MAN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AME
0 - 1
INJ
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
INJ
0 - 0
IMB
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
OCT
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
OCT
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |