Copa Peru Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 2-2
Independiente Huachog vs Unión Tarapoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
81.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Huachog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESC
4 - 1
IND
44%
24%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
SAF
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 1
IND
45%
22%
33%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
CFC
31%
21%
48%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAF
4 - 1
IND
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Tarapoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
10 - 1
AHC
91%
7%
1%
|
57 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
USD
1 - 3
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
2 - 1
DTA
91%
8%
2%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
DTA
0 - 0
TAR
7%
13%
80%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TAR
4 - 2
USD
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |