Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
3 - 0
IND
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
CER
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 0
CCP
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 1
LQE
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LQE
3 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
LQE
65%
21%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |