Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 2
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
OLI
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 2
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CER
0 - 1
LQE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
LQE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LQE
0 - 4
LIB
25%
28%
48%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |