Independiente FBC vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
IND
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
IND
0 - 2
OLI
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
CER
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 0
AME
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 2
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |