Independiente FBC vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 2
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
IND
3 - 1
12O
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 0
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
IND
2 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPT
70%
19%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
LQE
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |