Independiente FBC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
IND
0 - 0
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
IND
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
IND
4 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
SPT
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 5
SPT
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |