Independiente FBC vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
AME
0 - 1
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CCP
4 - 0
IND
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
IND
1 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 1
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 4
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ATT
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 4
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |