Independiente FBC vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
LQE
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIB
25%
30%
45%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |