Independiente FBC vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
TAC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
CCP
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 1
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
ONC
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 1
LIB
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
LIB
21%
28%
50%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
5 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |