Independiente FBC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 1
IND
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
GEN
43%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 2
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +3 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 1
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
AME
0 - 0
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |