Independiente FBC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
TAC
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
IND
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LQE
1 - 3
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |