Independiente FBC vs General Caballero SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
IND
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
LIB
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
General Caballero SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 2
OLI
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
23%
29%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 5
RÑU
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |