Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
CCP
23%
28%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |