Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapeguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 2
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
OLI
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
IND
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
TAC
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Carapeguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
LQE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAR
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
OLI
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |