Independiente FBC vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
DEP
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
IND
3 - 1
AME
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
IND
0 - 3
CCP
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
48%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CCP
4 - 1
GEN
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
CCP
3 - 2
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |