Independiente FBC vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
IND
0 - 3
LQE
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
SPT
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 4
CCP
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 1
CCP
29%
28%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
BOS
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
CCP
0 - 0
SPT
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |