Independiente FBC vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
IND
4 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
IND
2 - 2
SPT
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 2
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
LQE
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 2
CCP
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |