Independiente FBC vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 2
CCP
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CCP
3 - 0
RÑU
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
CCP
23%
28%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 3
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |