Independiente FBC vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 4
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 2
IND
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CER
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
CCP
28%
28%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 0
CCP
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CCP
5 - 1
GEN
73%
19%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |