Independiente FBC vs PF Cerro Por. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
CCP
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 4
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
PF Cerro Por.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LQE
3 - 0
CER
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 0
CER
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
OLI
20%
25%
54%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
4 - 1
CER
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |