Independiente FBC vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
LIB
27%
30%
43%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
TAC
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
CCP
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 1
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
22%
26%
53%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
LIB
21%
28%
50%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 0
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |