Independiente Chorrera vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
1º
11
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 2
IND
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 3
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UME
1 - 2
AZU
26%
27%
48%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UME
0 - 2
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 4
UME
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SFF
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UME
1 - 0
AZU
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |