Independiente Chorrera vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
1º
18
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
SMI
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 1
IND
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 2
IND
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 2
IND
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UME
1 - 1
AFM
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
UME
0 - 0
SSM
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UME
4 - 0
PCF
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PCF
0 - 0
UME
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
UME
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |