Independiente Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
5º
1º
15
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 29 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 23 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
50% | 5.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
29% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 65% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 2
IND
20%
24%
56%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
52%
24%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
23%
25%
53%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 1
UME
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
TAU
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMI
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 0
ARA
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
SMI
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |