Independiente Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
1º
28
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TAU
3 - 3
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
UME
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
SMI
21%
29%
50%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 0
SFF
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 1
COS
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
SMI
43%
30%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
32%
31%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |