Independiente Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
COS
1 - 1
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
IND
1 - 2
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 3
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IND
2 - 0
SFF
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 1
IND
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
SMI
48%
28%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 1
COS
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 0
TAU
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
AMA
0 - 0
SMI
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |