Independiente Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
SFF
36%
27%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
IND
5 - 2
VER
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 2
IND
62%
24%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
AFC
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 0
IND
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SMI
1 - 0
VER
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
SMI
3 - 2
AMA
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SFF
2 - 2
SMI
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SMI
2 - 2
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 2
SMI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |