Independiente Chorrera vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
4º
1º
1
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
6 | 25 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
5 | 24 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 23 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 23 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 23 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 22 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 22 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 22 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 19 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 17 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
24% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
30% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
46% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
IND
2 - 1
UME
57%
24%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
AMA
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
SUN
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 2
IND
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 2
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
SFF
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 2
UME
54%
26%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 0
AZU
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
SFF
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
SFF
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |