Independiente Chorrera vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
1º
25
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 2
AZU
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
IND
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
UME
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COS
0 - 2
SFF
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 2
ARA
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 0
TAU
26%
29%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 1
SFF
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |