Independiente Chorrera vs Río Abajo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 0
IND
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Río Abajo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
CHE
42%
30%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
ARA
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 2
SMI
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 0
RIO
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |