Independiente Chorrera vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
1º
21
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 6
IND
11%
21%
68%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
SFF
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 2
AZU
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
IND
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 1
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
CHO
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
AMA
27%
29%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |