Independiente Chorrera vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
COS
1 - 2
IND
30%
27%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 4
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
OES
0 - 6
IND
13%
19%
69%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 1
SMI
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 2
CHO
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 4
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
COL
0 - 2
CHO
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |