Independiente Chorrera vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
TAU
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 0
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
IND
3 - 4
SMI
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 2
SFF
29%
28%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
64%
23%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 3
CHO
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 2
AMA
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 1
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 3
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |