Independiente Chorrera vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
5º
1º
4
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
15 | 29 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 28 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 28 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 25 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 23 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
32.5% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
35% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
TAU
4 - 1
IND
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
IND
3 - 1
SUN
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 2
AMA
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
4 - 3
SUN
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 1
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 1
UME
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |