Independiente Chorrera vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
SFF
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
GEM
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
COS
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
KCW
3 - 0
IND
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 0
GEM
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 0
ARA
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARA
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |