Independiente Chorrera vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
IND
4 - 2
TAU
31%
28%
42%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
SMI
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 2
IND
61%
24%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
AFC
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
SMI
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARA
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
SFF
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARA
27%
30%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |