Independiente Chorrera vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 1
IND
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 2
CHE
60%
25%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 0
SMI
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
HOD
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 4
ARA
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 2
TAU
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHO
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |