Independiente Chorrera vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
1º
24
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TAU
3 - 3
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
UME
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 1
AZU
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 2
AFC
33%
30%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
AFC
25%
29%
47%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 0
AFC
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
COS
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |